Picks of the Week
Here's what everyone's been waiting for my five picks for this week, once again went 3 out of 5 so that brings the season total to 16 out of 25 which is great considering my sports gambling history, let's hope I can keep it up.
NC State +4.5 @ Boston College
NC State gave Virginia Tech a tough match to open the season and made people keep an eye on them once the ACC season came around. Unfortunately they didn't do much that is until last week when they went into Tallahassee and defeated the Seminoles, a game I picked that covered easily. Since Marcus Stone has taken over for Jay Davis the Wolfpack hasn't lost, although that is only two games, and Andre Brown has emerged as a big time threat at RB. BC is coming off a tough loss to North Carolina in Chapel Hill and they will be fired up but I think NC State is hitting its peak now and they do need 2 of the next 3 to become bowl eligible. In my gambling days I would say take the +170 ML and run with it but to play it safe I'll say take the points. Remember Chuck Amato is still undefeated ATS as a road underdog and that's what he is tomorrow.
Northwestern +19 @ Ohio State
Northwestern is one of the most explosive offenses in the Big Ten and have just recently been slowed down in the past two weeks. I think getting 19 is way too much and will take the Wildcats and the points down in Columbus. Super freshman Tyrell Sutton is coming back to his home state where he was Mr. Football last year but the Buckeyes did not recruit him so he should come into this game with a chip on his shoulder. The Wildcats still hold outside hope of sharing the Big Ten title since they only have two conference losses and will give it a good fight. The Buckeyes demolished the Illini last week but as much as this game is important to them we all know they're looking ahead to next week at the Big House, Ohio State is 3-8-1 ATS in the past 12 years the week before Michigan and I don't expect that trend to change with a good Northwestern team coming into town.
Nevada -10 @ New Mexico State
Hal Mumme came to New Mexico State with thoughts of bringing back his high octane offense and it hasn't happened. NMSU has yet to win a game and aside from a 1 point loss to 2-6 Idaho, no other game has been closer than 17 points which happened twice. Their average margin of loss is 24.7 points per game and that shouldn't change with Jeff Rowe and Nichiren Flowers coming in. The same Idaho team that beat NMSU by 1, Nevada beat by 48. This one shouldn't be close.
Lousiana Tech -9 @ Idaho
Speaking of Idaho they are 9 point dogs to Louisiana Tech at home and I don't know much about either squad this year since Ryan Moats decided to go to the NFL early but we do know Idaho is awful. They let Washington beat them so it shouldn't be a problem for Louisiana Tech as well. Tech needs one more win to become bowl eligible and with Boise State and Fresno State on the schedule after this week they should come out ready to play since this is their best shot at getting that necessary 6th win.
Kansas @ Texas Over 55.5
Texas could easily cover the 33.5 point spread but they could also come out flat like they did against Oklahoma State. The thing we do know though is regardless Texas can put up the points and if Kansas some how gets an early lead we know that the Longhorns will come back firing like they did a few weeks ago in Stillwater. Vince Young and Co. should continue to rack up the points as they are now going for style points in Young's quest for the Heisman.
NC State +4.5 @ Boston College
NC State gave Virginia Tech a tough match to open the season and made people keep an eye on them once the ACC season came around. Unfortunately they didn't do much that is until last week when they went into Tallahassee and defeated the Seminoles, a game I picked that covered easily. Since Marcus Stone has taken over for Jay Davis the Wolfpack hasn't lost, although that is only two games, and Andre Brown has emerged as a big time threat at RB. BC is coming off a tough loss to North Carolina in Chapel Hill and they will be fired up but I think NC State is hitting its peak now and they do need 2 of the next 3 to become bowl eligible. In my gambling days I would say take the +170 ML and run with it but to play it safe I'll say take the points. Remember Chuck Amato is still undefeated ATS as a road underdog and that's what he is tomorrow.
Northwestern +19 @ Ohio State
Northwestern is one of the most explosive offenses in the Big Ten and have just recently been slowed down in the past two weeks. I think getting 19 is way too much and will take the Wildcats and the points down in Columbus. Super freshman Tyrell Sutton is coming back to his home state where he was Mr. Football last year but the Buckeyes did not recruit him so he should come into this game with a chip on his shoulder. The Wildcats still hold outside hope of sharing the Big Ten title since they only have two conference losses and will give it a good fight. The Buckeyes demolished the Illini last week but as much as this game is important to them we all know they're looking ahead to next week at the Big House, Ohio State is 3-8-1 ATS in the past 12 years the week before Michigan and I don't expect that trend to change with a good Northwestern team coming into town.
Nevada -10 @ New Mexico State
Hal Mumme came to New Mexico State with thoughts of bringing back his high octane offense and it hasn't happened. NMSU has yet to win a game and aside from a 1 point loss to 2-6 Idaho, no other game has been closer than 17 points which happened twice. Their average margin of loss is 24.7 points per game and that shouldn't change with Jeff Rowe and Nichiren Flowers coming in. The same Idaho team that beat NMSU by 1, Nevada beat by 48. This one shouldn't be close.
Lousiana Tech -9 @ Idaho
Speaking of Idaho they are 9 point dogs to Louisiana Tech at home and I don't know much about either squad this year since Ryan Moats decided to go to the NFL early but we do know Idaho is awful. They let Washington beat them so it shouldn't be a problem for Louisiana Tech as well. Tech needs one more win to become bowl eligible and with Boise State and Fresno State on the schedule after this week they should come out ready to play since this is their best shot at getting that necessary 6th win.
Kansas @ Texas Over 55.5
Texas could easily cover the 33.5 point spread but they could also come out flat like they did against Oklahoma State. The thing we do know though is regardless Texas can put up the points and if Kansas some how gets an early lead we know that the Longhorns will come back firing like they did a few weeks ago in Stillwater. Vince Young and Co. should continue to rack up the points as they are now going for style points in Young's quest for the Heisman.
posted by Kenny at
9:39 AM
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